Is Africa ready to facilitate
large-scale satellite deployments?
By Dr
Dawie de Wet, CEO, Q-KON
With the advent of High Throughput Satellite (HTS) services within Africa’s connected business environment, the question of what happens with the remainder of the satellite supply value chain is relevant.
The
development of HTS services is
slowly but surely entering the
African landscape and means that
satellite access servicing to the
end-user is nearing the 10Mbps, 15GB
at $50/month service points.
At these price
and performance points we would
expect an upsurge in subscriber
growth and Africa to mirror North
American levels of +1,000,000
subscriber terminals.
Surely the
fast geographical landscapes of
Africa, linked to the lack of
extensive ADSL networks and the
limitations of 3G services, create
the perfect opportunity for
large-scale satellite deployments?
Satellite
services as a technology can
certainly meet the future user
demands and contribute significantly
to close the digital divide.
But what is
less certain, and not often debated,
is whether the remainder of the
value channel will be able to rise
to the occasion.
Challenges
within the greater value chain and
the requirements to ensure
large-scale deployments of satellite
services warrants further
discussion.
The
challenges
The first, and
probably most significant challenge
is that satellite service is, and
always will be a niche service.
As elegantly
demonstrated by the 2014 Comsys
Report, satellite revenue is less
than 10% of telco revenues with
little to no impact on the bottom
line.
Often
considered more of a necessary evil
than a strategic differentiator,
satellite services do not form part
of the mainstream focus of leading
telcos. This represents both an
opportunity and a challenge. The
opportunity is for niche and
focussed Service Providers to drive
the delivery of satellite services
and to do so in a way that
compliments the services from the
major telcos.
However, being
niche Service Providers, the capital
and investment required to drive
large-scale satellite deployments is
often not available. What will be
needed is the development of medium
tier service providers who can drive
the next phase of HTS deployments,
these will be niche provider who can
indeed amass the resources required
for HTS service while being small
enough to appreciate the returns
offered.
In the South
Africa and Africa context Service
Providers such as Q-KON, iBurst and
Godwana could be ideally placed to
leverage the moment.
Multimedia
Service Bundles
With IP access
being the core delivery of HTS
services it is logical to expect
that subscribers will want an
elegant service offering which
combines TV, broadband and telephony
in simple service bundles.
From a
technical product definition point
of view this is certainly not a
challenge at all. However, from an
industry, regulatory and content
rights position this leads to far
more questions than answers.
With the
Africa regulatory landscape still
very much split between
telecommunication and broadcast
services - will this means that
ISP’s will now be licensed to be
national broadcasters or will
broadcasters be licensed to be
ISP’s?
This doesn’t
even start to address the matter of
regional licenses for Netflix and
other over-the-top providers.
Since we want
to focus on solutions and not
problems, I maintain that it will be
the new medium tier Operators that
will be flexible and dynamic enough
to address this issue. It will be
these innovative, and by definition
niche technology operators, that can
create the structures needed to
deliver HTS in Africa.
Logistics,
Distribution and Field Services
The
exceptional successes of the GSM
network rollouts and the large scale
growth in subscriber terminals might
lead many to expect that mobile
operators are well positioned to
drive deployment of subscriber HTS
satellite services.
However, in
our experience, exactly the opposite
is true. Large-scale satellite
service deployments require very
different capabilities, which are
closer to the DTH industry than the
mobile cellular industry.
Given that the
subscriber terminal cost is getting
lower and nearing the $300 per set
mark, the cost of warehousing,
logistics, field trucks and field
engineering costs are becoming the
dominant element in the cost
equation.
As such it is
no longer enough to get affordable
equipment costs if you can’t also
distribute, deliver and install the
service at affordable rates. It is
the DTH industry players who have
the capabilities and infrastructure
required to meet this challenge and
who could potentially partner with
niche Service Providers to execute
the HTS service promise.
Time to
reconsider
We believe the
architects, manufacturers and
developers of the HTS macro
environment should do more than
evangelise the brilliance of HTS
technology and the exceptional
performance and functionality of
what it offers.
We believe
these industry players should also
stimulate debate and initiate
discussions within the wider
landscape and value chain in order
to lay the foundation of what will
be needed to really pull through on
the HTS promise.
They might
need to rethink contract models and
engagement structures to enable
medium tier Service Providers to
execute the implementation of
large-scale HTS deployments.
The HTS
successes we have witnessed in the
Americas by Wildblue, DISHtv and
others are sound of what can be done
albeit done by single organisations
which taken up the responsibilities
of the completed end-to-end value
chain and has delivered on each
element.