Japan--Rise of
Commercial Space in the Land of the Rising Sun
by Blaine
Curcio, Founder at Orbital Gateway Consulting
The Japanese
space sector is one that can sometimes go
under-the-radar. With a rapidly growing China just next
door, and with many of Japan’s missions involving
playing a supporting role for missions being led by NASA
and others, the country’s space industry has,
historically, been relatively quiet about marketing
itself. Part of this can be chalked up to cultural
differences—we have all seen the maddeningly complex
slides that can seem indecipherable, whether in English
or Japanese—but part of it is because until relatively
recently, Japanese commercial space was a small, and in
many cases academia-focused endeavor.
This is starting
to change, as Japanese commercial space companies are
raising much larger sums of money, and from a wider
variety of funding sources. A country like Japan, with a
high savings rate, with no shortage of large financial
institutions, and a huge number of talented engineers
and scientists, has all the ingredients for a thriving
commercial space ecosystem. And over the past few years,
we have started to see the beginnings of one emerge.
Astroscale
and the Nintendo Founding Family
In late 2021,
Japanese space debris mitigation startup Astroscale
completed a US$109 million round of funding—its
largest ever—that brought the company’s total funds
raised to US$300M. The company calls themselves “Space
Sweepers”, planning to launch spacecraft that can remove
orbital debris, and as a result keeping orbit safe and
clean for future generations. The company has a glossy
website, a senior management team that combines Japanese
and non-Japanese executives, and importantly, not a
single maddeningly complex slide deck in sight (though
they do have some great slide decks).
The funding
round for Astroscale included a variety of financiers,
including Japan Growth Capital Investment Corporation,
Seraphim Space Investment Trust, Chiba Dojo Fund II
Investment Limited Partnership, and, perhaps most
notably, the Yamauchi-No. 10 Family Office, listed last
on the list of financiers in the press release.
Having
never heard of this family office, but with the Yamauchi
name sounding vaguely familiar, I did some digging, and
found on the family office’s website that the Yamauchi
family is the founding family of Nintendo Corporation.
And what a website it
is, unquestionably the most unforgettable
family office website that I have ever seen (admittedly,
that may not be saying much). For anyone reading this
online, I suggest you take a moment and go check out the
website, we will wait here.
Figure
1
The Homepage for the Yamauchi No10 Family Office
For those who
did not just make the quick trip over to
www.Y-N10.com,
a short summary: the website looks like a video game
crossed with something from the mind of Timothy Leary.
It is so overwhelming and bizarre upon first landing
that one almost feels the need to close your browser
immediately. But then digging a bit deeper into what the
heck this family office is all about, one starts to
realize that the Yamauchi No. 10 Family Office is
absolutely serious about their ambitions to invest in
innovative Japanese startups. How so?
By invoking the
spirit of Hiroshi Yamauchi, the Third President of
Nintendo, and a man who ruled over the company from 1949
to 2002. The website notes that Yamauchi was “one of
those people who possessed truly unique creativity and a
pioneering mindset, along with a foresight and the
understanding of what users wanted”, while also pointing
out that “Japan was once globally renowned for
its people’s quality of unique creativity teamed with a
pioneering mindset…. but that golden era has long
gone. It seems that the quality Japanese people
once possessed is overshadowed by worry and fear”.
The Yamauchi
Family Office is the embodiment of what makes Japanese
space unique. The family office website looks like a
whimsical video game but becomes pretty darn deep and
serious when you start reading their mission: “Our goal
is to use our investments to drive innovation in Japan.
By being more proactive in the companies we invest in,
we can achieve the kind of reforms needed in this
country to popularize the idea of taking on new
challenges to generate innovative new ideas, products,
and services”.
As with the rest
of the world, the commercial space sector in Japan has
been limited until recently. And as with Japan in many
other industries, the country began to see traction in
commercial space soon after the US, and before its East
Asian neighbor China. Today’s leading Japanese
commercial space companies were founded in the late
2000s to early 2010s, around a decade after the start of
companies such as SpaceX and Blue Origin, and around 5-7
years before commercial space companies began emerging
in China. These companies are choosing interesting and
noteworthy verticals, and are developing in ways that
reflect Japan’s historical tendencies and priorities in
the space sector.
Background of
Japanese Space
Japan has the
region’s most long-established space sector, having
completed its first space flight in 1955. In the ~65
years since, the country has developed a comprehensive
space program, including a variety of EO, comms, and
navigation satellites, space exploration missions, and a
major module on the International Space Station (ISS),
the Kibō Module.
Historically,
most of Japan’s major space projects have been motivated
by government policies and decisions related to research
& development (R&D), rather than commercial
considerations. This is partly a reflection of broader
Japanese economic policy, namely a state-led development
policy that has prioritized technology development,
oftentimes in order to keep pace with the west, leading
to top-down projects that are more reflective of
government priorities than commercial applicability.
This has also historically meant that a small number of
conglomerates with close ties to the government have
tended to dominate the national space sector.
Figure
2
Funding, Number of Companies, and Number of Investors
per Vertical. Source: ESPI Report, New Space in Asia
As a result of
this top-down development model, Japan’s space program
has led to a lot of technological innovations that have
been applied to other sectors, but has led to relatively
low utilization of Japan’s actual in-orbit space assets.
For example, while Japan’s EO satellite programs have
led to a variety of new technologies, the utilization of
the data generated by the satellites is lower than, for
example, LandSat.
More recently,
this has begun to change, with the Japanese government
taking specific actions to invigorate its space sector.
This includes the Basic Plan on Space Policy, first
published in 2009 and most recently revised in 2020. The
Plan calls for, among other things, “realizing economic
growth and innovation for which space is the driving
force”, while also emphasizing that the global space
sector is becoming more commercial, and that Japan must
follow suit. Within the 2020 revision is a goal to
double the size of Japan’s space economy from $11
billion in 2020 to more than $20B by the early 2030s.
In addition to
policies, the government has offered more tangible
support, most notably a ¥100B fund created in 2018 for
commercial space companies. Other tools Japan is using
to develop a commercial space sector include a variety
of government accelerators and programs, with this
including S-Booster (startup contest for space
companies), S-Net (platform to match entrepreneurs and
government officials to better utilize space
infrastructure), and S-Matching (platform to match space
entrepreneurs and investors). Finally, similar to NASA,
Japan’s JAXA has been gradually moving from a model of
building/owning space infrastructure to a model of
hiring more contractors (implicitly private space
companies) for assistance on projects.
Japan’s
Government Space Program
Japan’s space
program is administered by the Japan Aerospace
Exploration Agency (JAXA), the nation’s space agency,
which was created in 2003 as a merger of the National
Space Development Agency of Japan (NASDA), the Institute
of Space and Astronautical Science (ISAS), and the
National Aerospace Laboratory of Japan (NAL). JAXA’s
budget for FY21 was ¥212B, or around US$2B, with this
figure representing around half of Japan’s total space
budget (the remainder largely goes to the Cabinet
Secretariat and the Ministry of Defense).
The Japanese
space industry has traditionally been dominated by a
handful of industrial conglomerates, including
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (MHI), Mitsubishi Electric
(MELCO), NEC, and Hitachi. These companies are the prime
contractors for many of Japan’s major space initiatives,
with MHI developing the H2 and H3 launch vehicles, MELCO
developing most of Japan’s large satellites, and with
NEC and Hitachi, among others, contributing as partners
to the aforementioned Kibō module on the ISS. In most of
these projects, JAXA would act as the integrator,
orchestrating a consortium of private companies.
Today, Japan’s
space program places major emphasis on satellite
navigation (3x more QZSS satellites planned by 2023), EO
(several Information Gathering Satellites--IGS--launched
in the next few years), and satcom (multiple X-band
milsatcom satellites having been launched). Moving
forward, defense and self-sufficiency are expected to be
major themes in the development of Japan’s space
capabilities, with the regional geopolitical/security
environment justifying increased expenditure on
defense-related projects.
Emergence of
Commercial Space in Japan
While the
national space program remains the largest component of
Japan’s space industry, the country has seen a vibrant
commercial space sector emerge over the past ~10 years.
Compared to the west, Japan’s commercial space companies
have been more focused on applications, rather than
developing industrial capabilities. This is partly due
to the semi-protected nature of verticals such as
launch, and partly due to the lack of a sufficiently
large domestic market to justify commercial investment
into projects such as heavy-lift rockets.
With that being
the case, Japanese commercial space companies have
focused on emerging applications, and have created
partnerships with some of Japan’s leading companies
partly through helping these companies make use of space
here on earth. Others have utilized lower launch costs
to create new opportunities in orbit.
The most
apparent example of collaboration here on earth is
between Axelspace and Mitsui Fudosan. Axelspace is a
leading Japanese earth observation company, founded in
2008. The company has integrated and launched several EO
satellites with various partners. Mitsui Fudosan, a
major conglomerate, has partnered with Axelspace for EO
data to be used in Mitsui’s logistics and real estate
businesses, while also helping to build a new
headquarters for Axelspace, and participating in
multiple company funding rounds.
Another example
is SAR satellite operator Synspective, which has raised
more than US$100M since its creation in 2018, with
funding coming from Mitsubishi UFJ Trust and Banking
Corporation and Shimizu Corporation, among others.
Shimizu, noteworthily, has very long-term lunar
ambitions, and in the more immediate term would have
certain requirements for SAR data due to its
construction and engineering business. Moving forward,
Japan’s large trading houses, industrial giants, and
other pillars of the national economy are likely to
become more involved with the country’s commercial space
sector, leading for more opportunities for space
startups.
Looking towards
orbit, in the field of space robotics, startup Gitai has
raised more than US$20M to build low-cost, reliable,
efficient robots to be used in space. In September 2021,
the Government of Japan announced that Gitai had created
the world’s first general-purpose “astrobot” for space
stations, using AI control & teleoperations. The
prototype robot was launched to the ISS in August 2021
and is currently undergoing testing on the space
station. Other startups in the Japanese space sector
that are among the leaders in their respective fields
include Infostellar (TT&C), WARPSPACE (optical comms)
and Skygate Technologies (TT&C).
Finally, Japan
is home to several of the most ambitious billionaires in
the space sector. Masayoshi Son, CEO of Softbank, is
well-known within the industry as one of the original
backers of OneWeb, and as a continued advocate for
global internet connectivity to enable an IoT-dominated
future. As is the case with companies like Gitai (albeit
at a smaller scale), Son is, at least in part, counting
on lower launch costs to enable significantly more
satellites to be launched.
Yusaku
Maezawa is perhaps less well-known in the west, but the
billionaire fashion designer is likely to become very
famous in the space sector over the coming years, having
booked a Starship trip around the moon for ~2023
timeframe. The mission, nicknamed #dearMoon by Yusaku,
is planned to be an art project and media stunt, with
Yusaku scheduled to be joined by a team of artists and
designers. While it is not clear what demand will exist
for Moon-related fashion and art, the creativity and
audacity of the plan is nothing if not impressive.
Conclusions--Where to Next for Japan’s Commercial Space
Sector?
Despite being a
major contributor to international missions, and despite
having arguably one of the top 5 space programs in the
world, the Japanese space sector has flown
under-the-radar for years. This is partly due to it
being a sector that has historically been dominated by
very big companies that do big things well but have a
certain culture that is less international, and partly
due to structures put in place by the government. This
is starting to change, as Japanese commercial space
companies have begun to play a bigger role in emerging
verticals and in their country’s space sector more
generally, with support from the government and private
players.
We have seen
over the past 5-10 years the emergence of a handful of
leading Japanese commercial space companies, and this
trend is just getting started. These companies have done
things differently, and in some cases, have created, or
are starting to create, completely new markets,
everything from cleaning up low earth orbit to making a
Moon mission into a global publicity stunt. These
companies can draw from a pool of experienced technical
talent, with a supportive government and conglomerates
that are looking for new growth avenues.
Whether it’s a
startup with an international founding team, or the
Yamauchi Family of Nintendo fame pouring millions into
startups to help invigorate the Japanese culture of
innovation, we should expect to see great things from
the commercial space sector in the Land of the Rising
Sun over the coming years.
SAVE THE DATE -
Australasia Satellite Forum 2022
14 & 15 June 2022
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