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NBN Co satellite launch likely delayed until 2016

7 May 2014

NBN Co’s long term satellite is likely to be delayed until 2016, with the company’s strategic review recommending that it take up extension options in current interim satellite contracts until 2017 to cover the expected gap. The launch was originally expected in the third quarter of 2015.

The strategic review of the satellite project also recommended against recent industry proposals for NBN Co to sell and lease back the satellites. However, it is in favour of looking at future partnership opportunities with the private sector. 

As well as the likely delayed launch, the review recommended pushing back the launch of the second satellite so that the team can focus on the initial launch and service commencement. The review found that the NBN Co spacecraft build and launch had very little remaining contingency time available, relative to what other satellite programs would typically have at this stage of the build, and also identified a number of key delay risks.

“The review expects the service commencement date is more likely to be in early CY2016 or sooner and this will only be achieved if the proposed mitigation actions are executed effectively. If they are not executed effectively the service commencement date could be later in calendar year CY2016,” the report noted, adding that longer delays could still materialise due to the inherent risks in any complex satellite program.

In the lead up to the review there were suggestions that NBN Co might sell the satellite project to private operators and then lease it back. However, the panel found that given the time constraints and other risks, this was not a viable option.

“The review believes that at this stage in the satellite program, given the risks and timelines involved, negotiating and executing any such deal is not feasible. NBN Co could, however, work with interested third party providers to investigate ways to commercialise any spare capacity in NBN Co's undersubscribed beams. Going forward NBN Co should communicate to the market that it is open to partnership proposals, and then ensure that it considers each on its own merits and risks,” the review noted.

The strategic review also examined various incremental revenue opportunities across fixed wireless and satellite. For satellite the only opportunity identified involves the selling of B2B products on the satellite service – as a wholesaler to NBN Co customers, rather than end-users –  where there is excess capacity. The resultant retail products would be sold to end-users at near commercial rates offering transportable, mobile and high data throughput services to new markets like mining and construction sites.

However, the review also noted that this would have relatively high complexity given the need for mobility licences and co-ordination with other satellites, requiring VSAT providers to place hubs in 10 gateways with Forward and Return carriers in those beams. It would also involve certain regulatory implications.

ORBITAL SLOTS: The review also reported on NBN Co's difficulties in co-ordinating orbital slots for its satellites ahead of the launch. NBN Co intends to position its satellites in slots at 140° east and 145° east, which sit above the high density population areas of Australia and provide ideal angles for  residential satellite antennas.

Although NBN Co has been engaged in the slot coordination process since 2010, it noted that it is not yet complete. So far, NBN Co has concluded several significant coordination agreements, including with Korea and Japan, however a significant co-ordination negotiation with the Russian Ka band satellite AM5, which has a priority filing, remains.

“The ACMA has strongly advised that NBN Co complete a key co-ordination agreement with this particular operator (Russian Satellite Communications Company, the main state operator of communications satellites) prior to launching NBN 1A. NBN Co and the Russian Satellite Communications Company should be able to have both satellites operating in the orbital slot at 140° east, with an NBN Co satellite serving the southern hemisphere and the Russian satellites serving the northern hemisphere, but there is some outstanding risk,” the report noted.

The review recommended that NBN Co engage specialist negotiators and work closely with the ACMA to complete the remaining agreements for orbital slot co-ordination.

Geoff Long, Commsday