Spacex CRS-7 Anomaly Update
On June 28, 2015, following a nominal liftoff, Falcon 9
experienced an overpressure event in the upper stage liquid oxygen tank
approximately 139 seconds into flight, resulting in loss of
mission. This summary represents an initial assessment, but further
investigation may reveal more over time.
Prior to the mishap, the first stage of the vehicle, including
all nine Merlin 1D engines, operated nominally; the first stage actually
continued to power through the overpressure event on the second stage
for several seconds following the mishap. In addition, the Dragon
spacecraft not only survived the second stage event, but also continued
to communicate until the vehicle dropped below the horizon and out of
range.
SpaceX has led the investigation efforts with oversight from
the FAA and participation from NASA and the U.S. Air Force. Review
of the flight data proved challenging both because of the volume of data
—over 3,000 telemetry channels as well as video and physical debris—and
because the key events happened very quickly.
From the first indication of an issue to loss of all telemetry
was just 0.893 seconds. Over the last few weeks, engineering teams
have spent thousands of hours going through the painstaking process of
matching up data across rocket systems down to the millisecond to
understand that final 0.893 seconds prior to loss of telemetry.
At this time, the investigation remains ongoing, as SpaceX and
the investigation team continue analyzing significant amounts of data
and conducting additional testing that must be completed in order to
fully validate these conclusions. However, given the currently
available data, we believe we have identified a potential cause.
Preliminary analysis suggests the overpressure event in the
upper stage liquid oxygen tank was initiated by a flawed piece of
support hardware (a “strut”) inside the second stage. Several
hundred struts fly on every Falcon 9 vehicle, with a cumulative flight
history of several thousand. The strut that we believe failed was
designed and material certified to handle 10,000 lbs of force, but
failed at 2,000 lbs, a five-fold difference. Detailed close-out photos
of stage construction show no visible flaws or damage of any kind.
In the case of the CRS-7 mission, it appears that one of these
supporting pieces inside the second stage failed approximately 138
seconds into flight. The pressurization system itself was performing
nominally, but with the failure of this strut, the helium system
integrity was breached. This caused a high pressure event inside
the second stage within less than one second and the stage was no longer
able to maintain its structural integrity.
Despite the fact that these struts have been used on all
previous Falcon 9 flights and are certified to withstand well beyond the
expected loads during flight, SpaceX will no longer use these particular
struts for flight applications. In addition, SpaceX will implement
additional hardware quality audits throughout the vehicle to further
ensure all parts received perform as expected per their certification
documentation.
As noted above, these conclusions are preliminary. Our
investigation is ongoing until we exonerate all other aspects of the
vehicle, but at this time, we expect to return to flight this fall and
fly all the customers we intended to fly in 2015 by end of year.
While the CRS-7 loss is regrettable, this review process
invariably will, in the end, yield a safer and more reliable launch
vehicle for all of our customers, including NASA, the United States Air
Force, and commercial purchasers of launch services. Critically,
the vehicle will be even safer as we begin to carry U.S. astronauts to
the International Space Station in 2017.
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